Match context

The upcoming match between FC jazz and KPV-j is scheduled for 11.09.2026 15:30 in Ykkönen. The listed venue is Musan kenttä, Pori. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC jazz are in position 7 with 30 points after 22 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDDD. KPV-j are in position 12 with 15 points after 22 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 68 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW.

Recent results

FC jazz recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDDDWWLL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. KPV-j recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLWLDLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, FC jazz recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and KPV-j recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.29 goals per match. Both teams scored in 57.1% of those matches, while 42.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC jazz to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.44%, 19.80% and 18.76%. The model momentum difference is 42.69 points in favour of FC jazz. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.91%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC jazz 0 / KPV-j 0 supports KPV-j by an average 4.80 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.36). At least one goal in the match (quota 34, score 80/100, 80.19% group success rate across 313 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC jazz at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 62.5%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 18 of 22 completed matches (81.8% coverage). The discipline profile for KPV-j away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.09 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.18 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 63.6%, 36.4%, 9.1% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC jazz and KPV-j ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.29 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC jazz at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. In this game, FC jazz received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.63 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for KPV-j away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.09 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.18 total cards per match. In this game, KPV-j received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.18 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported KPV-j at 0. The stored market movement was 4.8 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.36. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 34. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.