Match context

The upcoming match between VJS and Inter Turku II is scheduled for 12.09.2026 15:00 in Ykkönen. The listed venue is Myyrmäen jalkapallostadion, Vantaa. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
VJS are in position 8 with 31 points after 18 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDWD. Inter Turku II are in position 10 with 20 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 44 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW.

Recent results

VJS recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDWDDDWLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Inter Turku II recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWDDLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, VJS recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Inter Turku II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as VJS to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.47%, 18.03% and 18.50%. The model momentum difference is 44.98 points in favour of VJS. The input data quality score is 80/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.46 with Pinnacle. The stored estimated EV is -7.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair VJS 0 / Inter Turku II 0 supports Inter Turku II by an average 6.03 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.36). At least one goal in the match (quota 34, score 80/100, 79.81% group success rate across 317 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for VJS at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 44.4%, 22.2%, 22.2% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Inter Turku II away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.82 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.91 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 90.9%, 63.6%, 36.4% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between VJS and Inter Turku II ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.6 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for VJS at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, VJS received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Inter Turku II away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.82 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.91 total cards per match. In this game, Inter Turku II received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.91 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Inter Turku II at 0. The stored market movement was 6.03 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.36. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 34. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.