Match context

The upcoming match between TPV and KuPS Akatemia is scheduled for 13.09.2026 12:00 in Ykkönen. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
TPV are in position 9 with 24 points after 22 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDDL. KuPS Akatemia are in position 11 with 15 points after 22 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 6 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL.

Recent results

TPV recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDDLWLWWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. KuPS Akatemia recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLDDLDL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, TPV recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and KuPS Akatemia recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair TPV +0.5 / KuPS Akatemia -0.5 supports KuPS Akatemia by an average 1.67 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.34% group success rate across 498 observations). Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.21, score 90/100, 90% bucket win rate across 10 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for TPV at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.09 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.09 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 63.6%, 27.3%, 9.1% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for KuPS Akatemia away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.10 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 30.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between TPV and KuPS Akatemia ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for TPV at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.09 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.09 total cards per match. In this game, TPV received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.91 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for KuPS Akatemia away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.1 total cards per match. In this game, KuPS Akatemia received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported KuPS Akatemia at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.67 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.