Match context

The upcoming match between Bolívar and Universitario de Vinto is scheduled for 27.10.2026 00:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bolívar are in position 1 with 51 points after 22 matches. The season record is 16 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 56 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Universitario de Vinto are in position 13 with 21 points after 22 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 43 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWL.

Recent results

Bolívar recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDWWWDWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Universitario de Vinto recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWWLDWL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bolívar recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Universitario de Vinto recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bolívar to win with 89% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 88.57%, 7.82% and 3.61%. The model momentum difference is 84.96 points in favour of Bolívar. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.06 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.12%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bolívar at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 70.0%, 50.0%, 20.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Universitario de Vinto away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.56 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 55.6%, 44.4%, 33.3% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bolívar and Universitario de Vinto ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.