Match context

The upcoming match between The Strongest and Gualberto Villarroel SJ is scheduled for 01.11.2026 19:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
The Strongest are in position 3 with 45 points after 23 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 42 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWW. Gualberto Villarroel SJ are in position 14 with 20 points after 23 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 8 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL.

Recent results

The Strongest recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLLWDWDW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Gualberto Villarroel SJ recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWLLLLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, The Strongest recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Gualberto Villarroel SJ recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 55.6% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.40; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 99%; over 9.5 corners — 88%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as The Strongest to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.73%, 16.03% and 10.24%. The model momentum difference is 63.49 points in favour of The Strongest. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.84%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 23, score 79/100, 79.06% group success rate across 998 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for The Strongest at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.10 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 60.0%, 30.0%, 30.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 23 completed matches (91.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Gualberto Villarroel SJ away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 3.30 yellow cards, 0.30 red cards and 3.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 60.0% and 40.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 23 completed matches (91.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between The Strongest and Gualberto Villarroel SJ ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 19 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.33 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.4 total corners. The match recorded 19 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 99%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 88%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for The Strongest at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.1 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.2 total cards per match. In this game, The Strongest received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Gualberto Villarroel SJ away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 3.3 yellow cards, 0.3 red cards and 3.6 total cards per match. In this game, Gualberto Villarroel SJ received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 40%, and a red card in 20%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 23. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.