Match context

The upcoming match between UCD and Longford Town is scheduled for 27.10.2026 19:45 in First Division. The listed venue is UCD Bowl, Dublin. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
UCD are in position 2 with 56 points after 36 matches. The season record is 16 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 67 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWL. Longford Town are in position 5 with 52 points after 36 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 49 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDDW.

Recent results

UCD recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWLLDDWD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Longford Town recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDDWWLLDW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, UCD recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Longford Town recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair UCD -0.25 / Longford Town +0.25 supports UCD by an average 8.19 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 17 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.39). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 79/100, 79.48% bucket win rate across 580 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for UCD at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.82 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 45.5%, 27.3%, 9.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 37 completed matches (59.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Longford Town away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.73 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 54.5%, 27.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 25 of 37 completed matches (67.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between UCD and Longford Town ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UCD at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.82 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. In this game, UCD received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.82 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Longford Town away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.73 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.82 total cards per match. In this game, Longford Town received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.82 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported UCD at -0.25. The stored market movement was 8.19 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.39. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.